Welcome! This website holds our forecasts for the 2022 U.S. elections, and it is part of our undergraduate research project mentored by Prof. Alexandria Volkening at Purdue University. Our work centers around compartmental modeling and uses the methods introduced by A. Volkening, Daniel F. Linder, Mason A. Porter, and Grzegorz A. Rempala in this 2020 article in SIAM Review (arXiv link). Our research also builds on the 2020 website and code developed by Samuel Chian, William L. He, and Christopher M. Lee with A. Volkening.

To reproduce or build on our forecasts, all of the model code is available here.


– Ryan Branstetter,  Mengqi Liu,  and Manas Paranjape